Fund Research

JPMorgan Mid Cap

Last update 10 July 2019

JPMorgan Mid Cap is a client of Kepler Trust Intelligence. Material produced by Kepler Trust Intelligence should be considered as factual information only and not an indication as to the desirability or appropriateness of investing in the security or securities discussed.

Please see the important information by following this link or at the bottom of the page.

JPMorgan Mid Cap (JMF) aims to generate long-term capital growth from UK mid-cap stocks by using quantitative research and fundamental stock analysis to take advantage of investor psychology and inefficiencies in the market. The managers, Georgina Brittain and Katen Patel, believe this approach is perfectly suited to the mid cap market as it is less well covered by analysts than the large cap market and is therefore less efficient, meaning that there are many opportunities to gain an edge with superior analysis.

The track record of JMF shows the potential in their approach: over the past five years JMF has generated NAV total returns of 61.2%, compared to just 36.6% for the FTSE 250. The share price has risen 66.4% over the same period, as the discount has narrowed. Since 2013, the first full year Georgina was in charge, NAV total returns have been ahead of the index in four of the six full years, and in 2019 are so far ahead of the index again. The trust has done particularly well in the strongest rallies, such as in 2013 and 2017. The two down years were 2016 and 2018, both related to the Brexit referendum and aftermath.

The trust aims for capital growth, but it does have a progressive dividend policy, aiming to grow the dividend ahead of inflation each year. Over the past five years it has comfortably achieved this, with annualised growth in the payout of 10.2%, excluding special dividends. The historic yield is 2.5%, again excluding specials, which by definition may not recur. With specials included the dividend yield rises to 2.6%.

Georgina and Katen have reduced their gearing since the Brexit vote, and have been tending to run with a maximum of 5% of NAV in gearing, in recognition of the risks to the UK economy and currency from the ongoing Brexit negotiations. They have aimed to ensure the portfolio is not over-exposed to one outcome from the negotiations (i.e. a no-deal exit or a smooth transition).

Nevertheless, the sector and trust remain out of favour thanks to the Brexit issue, with JMF trading on a 12% discount, wider than the sector average of 9.7% and the trust’s one-year average of 7.4%. A change of broker in June 2019 is intended to help support marketing efforts to narrow the discount, although we understand that the board’s reticence to use buybacks to this end reflects its belief that while the Brexit negotiations are ongoing, the UK is likely to remain out of favour.

Thomas McMahon

Important Information

JPMorgan Mid Cap is a client of Kepler Trust Intelligence. Material produced by Kepler Trust Intelligence should be considered as factual information only and not an indication as to the desirability or appropriateness of investing in the security or securities discussed.

Please see the important information by following this link or at the bottom of the page.

Kepler Partners is not authorised to market products or make recommendations to Retail Clients. This report has been issued by Kepler Partners LLP, is based on factual information only, is solely for information purposes only and any views contained in it must not be construed as investment or tax advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or take any action in relation to any investment.

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This is an information-only document derived from publicly available facts. It does not, and is not intended to, constitute investment research or marketing.

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